1990 Japanese general election

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1990 Japanese general election

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18 February 1990
1993 →

All 512 seats in the House of Representatives
257 seats needed for a majority
Turnout73.31% (Increase 1.89pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderToshiki KaifuTakako DoiKoshiro Ishida
PartyLDPSocialistKōmeitō
Last election51.06%, 306 seats[a]17.23%, 85 seats9.43%, 56 seats
Seats won27513645
Seat changeDecrease 31Increase 51Decrease 11
Popular vote30,315,41716,025,4735,242,675
Percentage46.14%24.35%7.98%
SwingDecrease 3.28ppIncrease 7.12ppDecrease 1.45pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderTetsuzo FuwaEiichi Nagasue [ja]Satsuki Eda
PartyJCPDemocratic SocialistSocialist Democratic
Last election8.79%, 26 seats6.44%, 26 seats0.83%, 4 seats
Seats won16144
Seat changeDecrease 10Decrease 12Steady
Popular vote5,226,9873,178,949566,957
Percentage7.96%4.84%0.86%
SwingDecrease 0.83ppDecrease 1.60ppIncrease 0.03pp

 Seventh party
 
LeaderSeiichi Tagawa
PartyProgressive [ja]
Last election
Seats won1
Seat changeNew
Popular vote281,793
Percentage0.43%
SwingNew


Prime Minister before election

Toshiki Kaifu
LDP

Elected Prime Minister

Toshiki Kaifu
LDP

General elections were held in Japan on 18 February 1990 to elect the 512 members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet.[1]

Background

[edit]

As with the previous House of Councillors election, the "four-point set of evils" in the minds of voters were the controversial consumption tax, the Recruit scandal, agricultural import liberalisation, and former Prime Minister Sōsuke Uno's sex scandal. Political commentators excitedly speculated whether a "Great Reversal" would finally come about in which the LDP loses its majority in the House of Representatives, as the prior 1989 election saw the LDP lose its long-held majority in the House of Councillors.[2]

Results

[edit]
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
Liberal Democratic Party30,315,41746.14275−31
Japan Socialist Party16,025,47324.39136+51
Kōmeitō5,242,6757.9845−11
Japanese Communist Party5,226,9877.9616−10
Democratic Socialist Party3,178,9494.8414−12
Socialist Democratic Federation566,9570.8640
Progressive Party [ja]281,7930.431New
Other parties58,5360.090
Independents4,807,5247.3221+12
Total65,704,311100.005120
Valid votes65,704,31199.23
Invalid/blank votes511,5950.77
Total votes66,215,906100.00
Registered voters/turnout90,322,90873.31
Source: IPU
Seats won per district

By prefecture

[edit]
PrefectureTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPJSPKōmeitōJCPDSPSDFPPInd.
Aichi22116221
Akita7421
Aomori752
Chiba181251
Ehime963
Fukui431
Fukuoka1984421
Fukushima12651
Gifu9621
Gunma10631
Hiroshima12831
Hokkaido231271111
Hyōgo1910423
Ibaraki12831
Ishikawa541
Iwate8431
Kagawa642
Kagoshima10541
Kanagawa209641
Kōchi52111
Kumamoto106211
Kyoto1042211
Mie95211
Miyagi963
Miyazaki6321
Nagano13841
Nagasaki95211
Nara52111
Niigata13841
Ōita7421
Okayama1042211
Okinawa52111
Osaka27857511
Saga5311
Saitama1785211
Shiga5311
Shimane5311
Shizuoka141031
Tochigi10631
Tokushima5221
Tokyo44181183112
Tottori422
Toyama642
Wakayama6411
Yamagata7511
Yamaguchi9621
Yamanashi532
Total5122751364516144121

Analysis

[edit]

Although the LDP lost a net total of 25 seats, it still held onto its majority in the House of Representatives with a margin of 19 seats. This was due to the inequitable districting practices in Japan at the time, as individual voters in rural districts tend to both favour the LDP and also be disproportionately influential. However, the LDP did see losses among rural voters in the 1989 elections, and as a result the party pivoted away from their commitment to liberal import policies and back into a more protectionist rhetoric, declaring that "not one grain of foreign rice will be imported into Japan." The LDP also acquiesced by revising the consumption tax law to allow for exceptions; moreover, public resistance to the new tax had slightly decreased since the 1989 Upper House election. Although party leadership tends to have only minor influence on Japanese elections, positive cabinet approval ratings for the LDP bounced back from Noboru Takeshita's low of 10% to the reform-minded Toshiki Kaifu's 33%. In addition, the LDP also made sure to field an ample amount of candidates and to informally support independents, who increased by 12 in this election.[2]

The clear winner in the elections was the Japan Socialist Party, whose number of seats rose by 51 and whose popular vote rose by 7.12% from the last election. This was the JSP's strongest performance in a general election since 1967, and left it as the only party to gain any seats. Meanwhile, the other three main opposition parties (Komeito, the JCP, and the DSP) lost 11, 10, and 12 seats respectively, and all of them also saw reductions in their popular vote. According to surveys, however, the shift in support for the JSP was more to do with the familiar Japanese tendency to cast protest votes against the LDP rather than expressions of support for all of the opposition's platform. Moreover, the JSP continued to suffer from factional infighting and a relative lack of fund-raising when compared to the LDP, and thus its fortunes would only wind up being in the short-term.[2]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Elections held in 1990 Inter-Parliamentary Union
  2. ^ a b c Donnelly, Michael W. (1990). "No Great Reversal in Japan: Elections for the House of Representatives in 1990". Pacific Affairs. 63 (3): 303–320. doi:10.2307/2759521. JSTOR 2759521.

    1990 Japanese general election

    18 February 1990

    All 512 seats in the House of Representatives
    257 seats needed for a majority
    Turnout73.31% (Increase 1.89pp)
     First partySecond partyThird party
     
    LeaderToshiki KaifuTakako DoiKoshiro Ishida
    PartyLDPSocialistKōmeitō
    Last election51.06%, 306 seats[a]17.23%, 85 seats9.43%, 56 seats
    Seats won27513645
    Seat changeDecrease 31Increase 51Decrease 11
    Popular vote30,315,41716,025,4735,242,675
    Percentage46.14%24.35%7.98%
    SwingDecrease 3.28ppIncrease 7.12ppDecrease 1.45pp

     Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
     
    LeaderTetsuzo FuwaEiichi Nagasue [ja]Satsuki Eda
    PartyJCPDemocratic SocialistSocialist Democratic
    Last election8.79%, 26 seats6.44%, 26 seats0.83%, 4 seats
    Seats won16144
    Seat changeDecrease 10Decrease 12Steady
    Popular vote5,226,9873,178,949566,957
    Percentage7.96%4.84%0.86%
    SwingDecrease 0.83ppDecrease 1.60ppIncrease 0.03pp

     Seventh party
     
    LeaderSeiichi Tagawa
    PartyProgressive [ja]
    Last election
    Seats won1
    Seat changeNew
    Popular vote281,793
    Percentage0.43%
    SwingNew


    Prime Minister before election

    Toshiki Kaifu
    LDP

    Elected Prime Minister

    Toshiki Kaifu
    LDP

    General elections were held in Japan on 18 February 1990 to elect the 512 members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet.[1]

    Background

    As with the previous House of Councillors election, the "four-point set of evils" in the minds of voters were the controversial consumption tax, the Recruit scandal, agricultural import liberalisation, and former Prime Minister Sōsuke Uno's sex scandal. Political commentators excitedly speculated whether a "Great Reversal" would finally come about in which the LDP loses its majority in the House of Representatives, as the prior 1989 election saw the LDP lose its long-held majority in the House of Councillors.[2]

    Results

    PartyVotes%Seats+/–
    Liberal Democratic Party30,315,41746.14275−31
    Japan Socialist Party16,025,47324.39136+51
    Kōmeitō5,242,6757.9845−11
    Japanese Communist Party5,226,9877.9616−10
    Democratic Socialist Party3,178,9494.8414−12
    Socialist Democratic Federation566,9570.8640
    Progressive Party [ja]281,7930.431New
    Other parties58,5360.090
    Independents4,807,5247.3221+12
    Total65,704,311100.005120
    Valid votes65,704,31199.23
    Invalid/blank votes511,5950.77
    Total votes66,215,906100.00
    Registered voters/turnout90,322,90873.31
    Source: IPU
    Seats won per district

    By prefecture

    PrefectureTotal
    seats
    Seats won
    LDPJSPKōmeitōJCPDSPSDFPPInd.
    Aichi22116221
    Akita7421
    Aomori752
    Chiba181251
    Ehime963
    Fukui431
    Fukuoka1984421
    Fukushima12651
    Gifu9621
    Gunma10631
    Hiroshima12831
    Hokkaido231271111
    Hyōgo1910423
    Ibaraki12831
    Ishikawa541
    Iwate8431
    Kagawa642
    Kagoshima10541
    Kanagawa209641
    Kōchi52111
    Kumamoto106211
    Kyoto1042211
    Mie95211
    Miyagi963
    Miyazaki6321
    Nagano13841
    Nagasaki95211
    Nara52111
    Niigata13841
    Ōita7421
    Okayama1042211
    Okinawa52111
    Osaka27857511
    Saga5311
    Saitama1785211
    Shiga5311
    Shimane5311
    Shizuoka141031
    Tochigi10631
    Tokushima5221
    Tokyo44181183112
    Tottori422
    Toyama642
    Wakayama6411
    Yamagata7511
    Yamaguchi9621
    Yamanashi532
    Total5122751364516144121

    Analysis

    Although the LDP lost a net total of 25 seats, it still held onto its majority in the House of Representatives with a margin of 19 seats. This was due to the inequitable districting practices in Japan at the time, as individual voters in rural districts tend to both favour the LDP and also be disproportionately influential. However, the LDP did see losses among rural voters in the 1989 elections, and as a result the party pivoted away from their commitment to liberal import policies and back into a more protectionist rhetoric, declaring that "not one grain of foreign rice will be imported into Japan." The LDP also acquiesced by revising the consumption tax law to allow for exceptions; moreover, public resistance to the new tax had slightly decreased since the 1989 Upper House election. Although party leadership tends to have only minor influence on Japanese elections, positive cabinet approval ratings for the LDP bounced back from Noboru Takeshita's low of 10% to the reform-minded Toshiki Kaifu's 33%. In addition, the LDP also made sure to field an ample amount of candidates and to informally support independents, who increased by 12 in this election.[2]

    The clear winner in the elections was the Japan Socialist Party, whose number of seats rose by 51 and whose popular vote rose by 7.12% from the last election. This was the JSP's strongest performance in a general election since 1967, and left it as the only party to gain any seats. Meanwhile, the other three main opposition parties (Komeito, the JCP, and the DSP) lost 11, 10, and 12 seats respectively, and all of them also saw reductions in their popular vote. According to surveys, however, the shift in support for the JSP was more to do with the familiar Japanese tendency to cast protest votes against the LDP rather than expressions of support for all of the opposition's platform. Moreover, the JSP continued to suffer from factional infighting and a relative lack of fund-raising when compared to the LDP, and thus its fortunes would only wind up being in the short-term.[2]

    Notes

    References

    1. ^ Elections held in 1990 Inter-Parliamentary Union
    2. ^ a b c Donnelly, Michael W. (1990). "No Great Reversal in Japan: Elections for the House of Representatives in 1990". Pacific Affairs. 63 (3): 303–320. doi:10.2307/2759521. JSTOR 2759521.
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