2014 Japanese general election

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2014 Japanese general election

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14 December 2014
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All 475 seats in the House of Representatives
238 seats needed for a majority
Turnout52.65% (Decrease6.67pp; Const. votes)
52.65% (Decrease6.66pp; PR votes)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderShinzō AbeBanri KaiedaToru Hashimoto
Kenji Eda
PartyLDPDemocraticInnovation
Last election294 seats57 seats54 seats[a]
Seats before2956242
Seats won2917341
Seat changeDecrease 3Increase 16Decrease 13
Constituency vote25,461,44911,916,8494,319,646
% and swing48.10% (Increase5.09pp)22.51% (Decrease0.30pp)8.16% (Decrease3.48pp)
Regional vote17,658,9169,775,9918,382,699
% and swing33.11% (Increase5.49pp)18.33% (Increase2.84pp)15.72% (Decrease4.66pp)

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
LeaderNatsuo YamaguchiKazuo ShiiTakeo Hiranuma
PartyKomeitoJCPFuture Generations
Last election31 seats8 seatsDid not exist
Seats before31819
Seats won35212
Seat changeIncrease 4Increase 13New
Constituency vote765,3907,040,170947,396
% and swing1.45% (Decrease0.04pp)13.30% (Increase5.42pp)1.79% (New)
Regional vote7,314,2366,062,9621,414,919
% and swing13.71% (Increase1.81pp)11.37% (Increase5.20pp)2.65% (New)

districts and PR districts, shaded according to winners' vote strength

Prime Minister before election

Shinzō Abe
LDP

Elected Prime Minister

Shinzō Abe
LDP

General elections were held in Japan on 14 December 2014. Voting took place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan including proportional blocks to elect the members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet resigns in the first post-election Diet session after a general House of Representatives election (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election also led to a new election of the prime minister in the Diet, won by incumbent Shinzō Abe, and the appointment of a new cabinet (with some ministers re-appointed). The voter turnout in this election remains the lowest in Japanese history.

Background

[edit]

In 2012, the Democratic Party government under Yoshihiko Noda decided to raise the Japanese consumption tax. This unpopular move allowed the Liberal Democratic Party under Shinzo Abe to regain control of the Japanese government in the 2012 Japanese general election. Abe proceeded to implement a series of economic programs known as "Abenomics" in a bid to stimulate the economy. Despite these programs, Japan entered a technical recession in mid-2014, which Abe blamed on the consumption tax hike, even though many members of the LDP supported the hike. Abe called a snap election on November 18, in part for the purpose of winning LDP backing to postpone the hike and pursue the Abenomics package.[1][2]

The LDP government was widely expected to win the election in a landslide, and many observers viewed the snap election as a mechanism for Abe to entrench his government at a time of relative popularity.[3]

Under 2013 changes to the electoral law designed to reduce malapportionment, district boundaries in 17 prefectures were redrawn and five districts are eliminated without replacement (one each in Fukui, Yamanashi, Tokushima, Kōchi and Saga). The number of first-past-the-post seats is reduced to 295, the total number of seats decreases to 475.[4]

Opinion polls

[edit]
Parties' approval ratings from 2013 to 2014

(Source: NHK)

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings
Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings for Second and Third Abe Cabinet

Results

[edit]
Constituency Cartogram

The LDP lost a small number of seats but slightly enlarged its majority coalition with Komeito. Turnout was a record low, and many voters viewed the election as a waste of time and money. DPJ president Banri Kaieda lost his seat in Tokyo while the Japanese Communist Party doubled in strength.[9][10] The right-leaning Japan Innovation Party and Party for Future Generations lost seats.[11]

PartyProportionalConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Liberal Democratic Party17,658,91633.116825,461,44948.10223291−3
Democratic Party of Japan9,775,99118.333511,916,84922.513873+16
Japan Innovation Party8,382,69915.72304,319,6468.161141−13
Komeito7,314,23613.7126765,3901.45935+4
Japanese Communist Party6,062,96211.37207,040,17013.30121+13
Party for Future Generations1,414,9192.650947,3961.7922New
Social Democratic Party1,314,4412.461419,3470.79120
People's Life Party1,028,7211.930514,5750.9722−7
Happiness Realization Party260,1110.49000
Shiji Seitō Nashi104,8540.2000New
New Renaissance Party16,5970.03000
Genzei Nippon32,7590.0600New
Future Party4,8830.0100New
Katsuko Inumaru and Republican Party4,6680.01000
World Economic Community Party1,4160.00000
Independents1,511,2422.8588+3
Total53,334,447100.0018052,939,790100.00295475−5
Valid votes53,334,44797.4552,939,79096.71
Invalid/blank votes1,398,2832.551,801,5623.29
Total votes54,732,730100.0054,741,352100.00
Registered voters/turnout103,962,78552.65103,962,78452.65
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, CLEA

By prefecture

[edit]
PrefectureTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPDPJJIPKomeiPFGPLPJCPSDPInd.
Aichi15861
Akita33
Aomori44
Chiba13112
Ehime44
Fukui22
Fukuoka1111
Fukushima5311
Gifu55
Gunma55
Hiroshima761
Hokkaido12831
Hyōgo1271121
Ibaraki7511
Ishikawa33
Iwate4121
Kagawa321
Kagoshima541
Kanagawa18132111
Kōchi22
Kumamoto541
Kyoto642
Mie532
Miyagi651
Miyazaki33
Nagano5311
Nagasaki44
Nara431
Niigata651
Ōita321
Okayama541
Okinawa41111
Osaka199154
Saga211
Saitama151221
Shiga44
Shimane22
Shizuoka862
Tochigi541
Tokushima22
Tokyo2522111
Tottori22
Toyama33
Wakayama321
Yamagata33
Yamaguchi44
Yamanashi211
Total2952233811922118

By PR block

[edit]
PR blockTotal
seats
Seats won
LDPDPJJIPKomeiJCPSDP
Chūgoku1152121
Hokkaido832111
Hokuriku–Shinetsu1153111
Kinki (Kansai)2994844
Kyushu21833421
Northern Kanto2084332
Shikoku63111
Southern Kanto2284433
Tohoku1454221
Tōkai2185332
Tokyo1763323
Total18068353026201

Notable losses

[edit]

The most high-profile LDP candidate to lose re-election is Agriculture Minister Koya Nishikawa, who lost by 199 votes (0.2%) to former Governor of Tochigi Akio Fukuda.[12] He was questioned in October after allegedly receiving financial support from a fraudulent company.[13]

Amongst the DPJ members to lose their seats were party leader Banri Kaieda.[14] Party for Future Generations leader Shintaro Ishihara was also unsuccessful in his attempt to win a seat after receiving a low position on his party's representative ballot.[14]

Former leader of the now-dissolved Your Party and six-term representative for Tochigi-3rd district Yoshimi Watanabe was also defeated.[15]

The JCP gained its first single-seat constituency seat since the 1996 election. Amidst a growing anti-base movement in Okinawa, JCP candidate Seiken Akamine unseated LDP incumbent Kōnosuke Kokuba in a night marked with a nationwide JCP surge.[16]

Aftermath

[edit]

In November 2015 the Grand Bench of the Supreme Court ruled that the inequality in vote weight due to malapportionment was still in an unconstitutional state (iken jōtai); however, as in previous such rulings, it dismissed the demand to invalidate the election.[17][18]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Wakatabe, Masazumi. "Election With A Cause: Why Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe Must Call General Election Now". Forbes. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  2. ^ McCurry, Justin (2014-11-18). "Japan calls snap election". the Guardian. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  3. ^ Boyd, John. "Japan's unwanted election: Why now?". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  4. ^ Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications: 衆議院小選挙区の区割りの改定等について
  5. ^ "Approval rating for Abe Cabinet falls below 50% for 1st time since inauguration: Mainichi poll (in English)". Mainichi Shimbun. 24 December 2013. Archived from the original on 6 January 2014. Retrieved 5 January 2014.
  6. ^ "【産経・FNN合同世論調査】安倍内閣支持69・6%に上昇 鳩山内閣発足時を超える". MSN産経ニュース. Archived from the original on 2013-03-03. Retrieved 2013-03-24.
  7. ^ TBS/JNN
  8. ^ a b 内閣支持率71%、2回連続上昇...読売世論調査
  9. ^ "Abe coalition secures big Japan election win with record low turnout". Reuters. 2014-12-15. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  10. ^ "Japan election: Voters back Shinzo Abe as PM wins new term - BBC News". BBC News. 14 December 2014. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  11. ^ "Romping home". The Economist. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
  12. ^ NHK(Japan Broadcasting Corporation). "NHK2014衆院選".
  13. ^ "Sukyandaru: Shinzo Abe's plan to raise the profile of women in his cabinet is in tatters". The Economist. 25 October 2014.
  14. ^ a b "Abe tightens grip on power as ruling coalition wins 325 seats in Lower House election". The Japan Times. 15 December 2014.
  15. ^ "Ex-Your Party leader Watanabe, ex-Tokyo Gov. Ishihara to lose seats". mainichi.jp. Archived from the original on 2014-12-15.
  16. ^ Aoki, Mizuho (15 December 2014). "Resurgent JCP has night to remember". Japan Times. Retrieved 11 December 2017.
  17. ^ 14年衆院選、1票の格差は「違憲状態」 最高裁大法廷 Nihon Keizai Shimbun, 25 November 2015
  18. ^ Supreme Court says December election 'in state of unconstitutionality,' but won't nullify results The Japan Times, 25 November 2015

Notes

[edit]
[edit]

Media related to Japanese general election, 2014 at Wikimedia Commons

    2014 Japanese general election

    14 December 2014

    All 475 seats in the House of Representatives
    238 seats needed for a majority
    Turnout52.65% (Decrease6.67pp; Const. votes)
    52.65% (Decrease6.66pp; PR votes)
     First partySecond partyThird party
     
    LeaderShinzō AbeBanri KaiedaToru Hashimoto
    Kenji Eda
    PartyLDPDemocraticInnovation
    Last election294 seats57 seats54 seats[a]
    Seats before2956242
    Seats won2917341
    Seat changeDecrease 3Increase 16Decrease 13
    Constituency vote25,461,44911,916,8494,319,646
    % and swing48.10% (Increase5.09pp)22.51% (Decrease0.30pp)8.16% (Decrease3.48pp)
    Regional vote17,658,9169,775,9918,382,699
    % and swing33.11% (Increase5.49pp)18.33% (Increase2.84pp)15.72% (Decrease4.66pp)

     Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
     
    LeaderNatsuo YamaguchiKazuo ShiiTakeo Hiranuma
    PartyKomeitoJCPFuture Generations
    Last election31 seats8 seatsDid not exist
    Seats before31819
    Seats won35212
    Seat changeIncrease 4Increase 13New
    Constituency vote765,3907,040,170947,396
    % and swing1.45% (Decrease0.04pp)13.30% (Increase5.42pp)1.79% (New)
    Regional vote7,314,2366,062,9621,414,919
    % and swing13.71% (Increase1.81pp)11.37% (Increase5.20pp)2.65% (New)

    districts and PR districts, shaded according to winners' vote strength

    Prime Minister before election

    Shinzō Abe
    LDP

    Elected Prime Minister

    Shinzō Abe
    LDP

    General elections were held in Japan on 14 December 2014. Voting took place in all Representatives constituencies of Japan including proportional blocks to elect the members of the House of Representatives, the lower house of the National Diet of Japan. As the cabinet resigns in the first post-election Diet session after a general House of Representatives election (Constitution, Article 70), the lower house election also led to a new election of the prime minister in the Diet, won by incumbent Shinzō Abe, and the appointment of a new cabinet (with some ministers re-appointed). The voter turnout in this election remains the lowest in Japanese history.

    Background

    In 2012, the Democratic Party government under Yoshihiko Noda decided to raise the Japanese consumption tax. This unpopular move allowed the Liberal Democratic Party under Shinzo Abe to regain control of the Japanese government in the 2012 Japanese general election. Abe proceeded to implement a series of economic programs known as "Abenomics" in a bid to stimulate the economy. Despite these programs, Japan entered a technical recession in mid-2014, which Abe blamed on the consumption tax hike, even though many members of the LDP supported the hike. Abe called a snap election on November 18, in part for the purpose of winning LDP backing to postpone the hike and pursue the Abenomics package.[1][2]

    The LDP government was widely expected to win the election in a landslide, and many observers viewed the snap election as a mechanism for Abe to entrench his government at a time of relative popularity.[3]

    Under 2013 changes to the electoral law designed to reduce malapportionment, district boundaries in 17 prefectures were redrawn and five districts are eliminated without replacement (one each in Fukui, Yamanashi, Tokushima, Kōchi and Saga). The number of first-past-the-post seats is reduced to 295, the total number of seats decreases to 475.[4]

    Opinion polls

    Parties' approval ratings from 2013 to 2014

    (Source: NHK)

    Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings
    Approval (blue) and Disapproval (red) Ratings for Second and Third Abe Cabinet

    Results

    Constituency Cartogram

    The LDP lost a small number of seats but slightly enlarged its majority coalition with Komeito. Turnout was a record low, and many voters viewed the election as a waste of time and money. DPJ president Banri Kaieda lost his seat in Tokyo while the Japanese Communist Party doubled in strength.[9][10] The right-leaning Japan Innovation Party and Party for Future Generations lost seats.[11]

    PartyProportionalConstituencyTotal
    seats
    +/–
    Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
    Liberal Democratic Party17,658,91633.116825,461,44948.10223291−3
    Democratic Party of Japan9,775,99118.333511,916,84922.513873+16
    Japan Innovation Party8,382,69915.72304,319,6468.161141−13
    Komeito7,314,23613.7126765,3901.45935+4
    Japanese Communist Party6,062,96211.37207,040,17013.30121+13
    Party for Future Generations1,414,9192.650947,3961.7922New
    Social Democratic Party1,314,4412.461419,3470.79120
    People's Life Party1,028,7211.930514,5750.9722−7
    Happiness Realization Party260,1110.49000
    Shiji Seitō Nashi104,8540.2000New
    New Renaissance Party16,5970.03000
    Genzei Nippon32,7590.0600New
    Future Party4,8830.0100New
    Katsuko Inumaru and Republican Party4,6680.01000
    World Economic Community Party1,4160.00000
    Independents1,511,2422.8588+3
    Total53,334,447100.0018052,939,790100.00295475−5
    Valid votes53,334,44797.4552,939,79096.71
    Invalid/blank votes1,398,2832.551,801,5623.29
    Total votes54,732,730100.0054,741,352100.00
    Registered voters/turnout103,962,78552.65103,962,78452.65
    Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, CLEA

    By prefecture

    PrefectureTotal
    seats
    Seats won
    LDPDPJJIPKomeiPFGPLPJCPSDPInd.
    Aichi15861
    Akita33
    Aomori44
    Chiba13112
    Ehime44
    Fukui22
    Fukuoka1111
    Fukushima5311
    Gifu55
    Gunma55
    Hiroshima761
    Hokkaido12831
    Hyōgo1271121
    Ibaraki7511
    Ishikawa33
    Iwate4121
    Kagawa321
    Kagoshima541
    Kanagawa18132111
    Kōchi22
    Kumamoto541
    Kyoto642
    Mie532
    Miyagi651
    Miyazaki33
    Nagano5311
    Nagasaki44
    Nara431
    Niigata651
    Ōita321
    Okayama541
    Okinawa41111
    Osaka199154
    Saga211
    Saitama151221
    Shiga44
    Shimane22
    Shizuoka862
    Tochigi541
    Tokushima22
    Tokyo2522111
    Tottori22
    Toyama33
    Wakayama321
    Yamagata33
    Yamaguchi44
    Yamanashi211
    Total2952233811922118

    By PR block

    PR blockTotal
    seats
    Seats won
    LDPDPJJIPKomeiJCPSDP
    Chūgoku1152121
    Hokkaido832111
    Hokuriku–Shinetsu1153111
    Kinki (Kansai)2994844
    Kyushu21833421
    Northern Kanto2084332
    Shikoku63111
    Southern Kanto2284433
    Tohoku1454221
    Tōkai2185332
    Tokyo1763323
    Total18068353026201

    Notable losses

    The most high-profile LDP candidate to lose re-election is Agriculture Minister Koya Nishikawa, who lost by 199 votes (0.2%) to former Governor of Tochigi Akio Fukuda.[12] He was questioned in October after allegedly receiving financial support from a fraudulent company.[13]

    Amongst the DPJ members to lose their seats were party leader Banri Kaieda.[14] Party for Future Generations leader Shintaro Ishihara was also unsuccessful in his attempt to win a seat after receiving a low position on his party's representative ballot.[14]

    Former leader of the now-dissolved Your Party and six-term representative for Tochigi-3rd district Yoshimi Watanabe was also defeated.[15]

    The JCP gained its first single-seat constituency seat since the 1996 election. Amidst a growing anti-base movement in Okinawa, JCP candidate Seiken Akamine unseated LDP incumbent Kōnosuke Kokuba in a night marked with a nationwide JCP surge.[16]

    Aftermath

    In November 2015 the Grand Bench of the Supreme Court ruled that the inequality in vote weight due to malapportionment was still in an unconstitutional state (iken jōtai); however, as in previous such rulings, it dismissed the demand to invalidate the election.[17][18]

    References

    1. ^ Wakatabe, Masazumi. "Election With A Cause: Why Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe Must Call General Election Now". Forbes. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
    2. ^ McCurry, Justin (2014-11-18). "Japan calls snap election". the Guardian. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
    3. ^ Boyd, John. "Japan's unwanted election: Why now?". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
    4. ^ Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications: 衆議院小選挙区の区割りの改定等について
    5. ^ "Approval rating for Abe Cabinet falls below 50% for 1st time since inauguration: Mainichi poll (in English)". Mainichi Shimbun. 24 December 2013. Archived from the original on 6 January 2014. Retrieved 5 January 2014.
    6. ^ "【産経・FNN合同世論調査】安倍内閣支持69・6%に上昇 鳩山内閣発足時を超える". MSN産経ニュース. Archived from the original on 2013-03-03. Retrieved 2013-03-24.
    7. ^ TBS/JNN
    8. ^ a b 内閣支持率71%、2回連続上昇...読売世論調査
    9. ^ "Abe coalition secures big Japan election win with record low turnout". Reuters. 2014-12-15. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
    10. ^ "Japan election: Voters back Shinzo Abe as PM wins new term - BBC News". BBC News. 14 December 2014. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
    11. ^ "Romping home". The Economist. ISSN 0013-0613. Retrieved 2016-07-14.
    12. ^ NHK(Japan Broadcasting Corporation). "NHK2014衆院選".
    13. ^ "Sukyandaru: Shinzo Abe's plan to raise the profile of women in his cabinet is in tatters". The Economist. 25 October 2014.
    14. ^ a b "Abe tightens grip on power as ruling coalition wins 325 seats in Lower House election". The Japan Times. 15 December 2014.
    15. ^ "Ex-Your Party leader Watanabe, ex-Tokyo Gov. Ishihara to lose seats". mainichi.jp. Archived from the original on 2014-12-15.
    16. ^ Aoki, Mizuho (15 December 2014). "Resurgent JCP has night to remember". Japan Times. Retrieved 11 December 2017.
    17. ^ 14年衆院選、1票の格差は「違憲状態」 最高裁大法廷 Nihon Keizai Shimbun, 25 November 2015
    18. ^ Supreme Court says December election 'in state of unconstitutionality,' but won't nullify results The Japan Times, 25 November 2015

    Notes

    Media related to Japanese general election, 2014 at Wikimedia Commons

    Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2014_Japanese_general_election&oldid=1318088963"