2002 Kansas gubernatorial election

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2002 Kansas gubernatorial election

← 1998
November 5, 2002
2006 →
 
NomineeKathleen SebeliusTim Shallenburger
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Running mateJohn E. MooreDave Lindstrom
Popular vote441,858376,830
Percentage52.87%45.09%

County results
Sebelius:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Shallenburger:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      40–50%

Governor before election

Bill Graves
Republican

Elected Governor

Kathleen Sebelius
Democratic

The 2002 Kansas gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Governor Bill Graves, a Republican, was barred from seeking a third term by the Kansas Constitution. Kansas Insurance Commissioner Kathleen Sebelius, the Democratic nominee, ran against Kansas State Treasurer Tim Shallenburger, the Republican nominee, with Sebelius defeating Shallenburger to become the second female Governor of Kansas after Joan Finney who served as governor from 1991 to 1995.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticKathleen Sebelius 87,499 100.00
Total votes87,499 100.00

Republican primary

[edit]
Primary results by county:
Shallenburger
  •   Shallenburger—71-80%
  •   Shallenburger—51-60%
  •   Shallenburger—41-50%
  •   Shallenburger—31-40%
Kerr
  •   Kerr—41-50%
  •   Kerr—31-40%
Knight
  •   Knight—51-60%
  •   Knight—41-50%
  •   Knight—31-40%
  Tie between Shallenburger and Kerr-38%

Candidates

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Initially, Stovall was one of the presumed "front-runner" candidates, and her anticipated run against the probable Democratic nominee, Kansas Insurance Commissioner Kathleen Sebelius, drew national attention as becoming possibly a rare "woman-vs.-woman" gubernatorial race.[4][5] Though the front-runner among moderate candidates[6][7] — and confident that she would win if she stayed in the race[7] — Stovall dropped out in April, 2002, citing a lack of enthusiasm for campaigning, and for the job of governor,[7][8] and announced plans to marry Kansas media mogul Larry Steckline, whom she married in August.[9][10]

Stovall's abrupt withdrawal threw the moderate wing of the Kansas Republican Party into chaos, as they scrambled to replace her.[6][7] Kent Glasscock, her running mate, was the heir-apparent, and claimed entitlement to Stovall's campaign funds,[7] but conservative opponent Tim Shallenberger, the incumbent State Treasurer, argued that the funds, per his interpretation of state law, had to be returned to the state Republican party, or to the donors, a charity, or the state government's general revenue fund.[7] Additional Republican candidates began to emerge, also, further complicating the race.[7] Glasscock ultimately became a running mate for gubernatorial candidate Bob Knight.[11]

Stovall's withdrawal was credited with giving advantage to the Democratic nominee (and ultimate victor), Katheleen Sebelius.[6][8][12]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanTim Shallenburger 122,141 41.47
RepublicanDave Kerr86,99529.54
RepublicanBob Knight77,64226.36
RepublicanDan Bloom7,7262.62
Total votes294,504 100.00

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[13]Lean D (flip)October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]Lean D (flip)November 4, 2002

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kathleen
Sebelius (D)
Tim
Shallenburger (R)
Dennis
Hawver (L)
Theodore
Pettibone (Reform)
Other /
undecided
SurveyUSA[15]October 31 – November 2, 2002704 (LV)± 3.8%51%44%2%1%2%

Results

[edit]
Kansas gubernatorial election, 2002[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticKathleen Sebelius 441,858 52.87% +30.22%
RepublicanTim Shallenburger376,83045.09%−28.28%
ReformTheodore Pettibone8,9071.07%+0.01%
LibertarianDennis Hawver8,0970.97%
Majority65,0287.78%−42.93%
Turnout835,692
Democratic gain from RepublicanSwing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^ a b "2002 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
  2. ^ Rothschild, Scott (July 24, 2022). "The Governor's Race: Bloom follows outsider's path in race". Lawrence Journal-World. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  3. ^ Callaway, Kristin (July 28, 2002). "Eric Bloom: Bloom fills time with campaigning, sports". Lawrence Journal-World. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  4. ^ Clymer, Adam: "In 2002, Woman's Place May Be the Statehouse," date, The New York Times, retrieved July 28, 2020
  5. ^ Broder, David: "Closing The Governor Gap," February 20, 2002, The Washington Post, retrieved July 28, 2020
  6. ^ a b c Associated Press: "Decision: Lt. Governor says he won't wait for formal announcement from Stovall before he makes decision," April 11, 2002, Garden City Telegram, page 1, from NewspaperArchive.com (OCR text), retrieved July 28, 2020
  7. ^ a b c d e f g "Stovall Drops Out," April 16, 2002, Lawrence Journal-World, retrieved July 28, 2020
  8. ^ a b "Sebelius: A Legacy," April 28, 2009, Topeka Capital-Journal, retrieved July 28, 2020
  9. ^ "Kansas official plans to marry," Archived July 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, May 9, 2002, Daily Oklahoman, retrieved July 29, 2020
  10. ^ "Stovall-Steckline wedding," last modified Nov. 13, 2002, Marion County Record, retrieved July 29, 2020
  11. ^ Beatty, Bob and Virgil W. Dean, editors: "Doing What Needed to Get Done, When It Needed to Get Done”: A Conversation with Former Governor Bill Graves," undated Kansas History pp.172-197, retrieved July 29, 2020 from Washburn University reference archives.
  12. ^ Beatty, Bob and Linsey Moddelmog, editors: "Find a Way to Find Common Ground": A Conversation with Former Governor Kathleen Sebelius," Winter 2017-2018, Kansas History, retrieved July 29, 2020; pp.277-278: former Gov. Sebelius: "I entered the race [when] Carla [Stovall] [was] in the primary, and... within four months [she was] dropping out. So [the race] changed dramatically."
  13. ^ "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  14. ^ "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
  15. ^ SurveyUSA
  16. ^ "2002 General Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.

    2002 Kansas gubernatorial election

    November 5, 2002
     
    NomineeKathleen SebeliusTim Shallenburger
    PartyDemocraticRepublican
    Running mateJohn E. MooreDave Lindstrom
    Popular vote441,858376,830
    Percentage52.87%45.09%

    County results
    Sebelius:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
    Shallenburger:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
    Tie:      40–50%

    Governor before election

    Bill Graves
    Republican

    Elected Governor

    Kathleen Sebelius
    Democratic

    The 2002 Kansas gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002. Incumbent Governor Bill Graves, a Republican, was barred from seeking a third term by the Kansas Constitution. Kansas Insurance Commissioner Kathleen Sebelius, the Democratic nominee, ran against Kansas State Treasurer Tim Shallenburger, the Republican nominee, with Sebelius defeating Shallenburger to become the second female Governor of Kansas after Joan Finney who served as governor from 1991 to 1995.

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Results

    Democratic primary results[1]
    PartyCandidateVotes%
    DemocraticKathleen Sebelius 87,499 100.00
    Total votes87,499 100.00

    Republican primary

    Primary results by county:
    Shallenburger
    •   Shallenburger—71-80%
    •   Shallenburger—51-60%
    •   Shallenburger—41-50%
    •   Shallenburger—31-40%
    Kerr
    •   Kerr—41-50%
    •   Kerr—31-40%
    Knight
    •   Knight—51-60%
    •   Knight—41-50%
    •   Knight—31-40%
      Tie between Shallenburger and Kerr-38%

    Candidates

    Withdrawn

    Initially, Stovall was one of the presumed "front-runner" candidates, and her anticipated run against the probable Democratic nominee, Kansas Insurance Commissioner Kathleen Sebelius, drew national attention as becoming possibly a rare "woman-vs.-woman" gubernatorial race.[4][5] Though the front-runner among moderate candidates[6][7] — and confident that she would win if she stayed in the race[7] — Stovall dropped out in April, 2002, citing a lack of enthusiasm for campaigning, and for the job of governor,[7][8] and announced plans to marry Kansas media mogul Larry Steckline, whom she married in August.[9][10]

    Stovall's abrupt withdrawal threw the moderate wing of the Kansas Republican Party into chaos, as they scrambled to replace her.[6][7] Kent Glasscock, her running mate, was the heir-apparent, and claimed entitlement to Stovall's campaign funds,[7] but conservative opponent Tim Shallenberger, the incumbent State Treasurer, argued that the funds, per his interpretation of state law, had to be returned to the state Republican party, or to the donors, a charity, or the state government's general revenue fund.[7] Additional Republican candidates began to emerge, also, further complicating the race.[7] Glasscock ultimately became a running mate for gubernatorial candidate Bob Knight.[11]

    Stovall's withdrawal was credited with giving advantage to the Democratic nominee (and ultimate victor), Katheleen Sebelius.[6][8][12]

    Results

    Republican primary results[1]
    PartyCandidateVotes%
    RepublicanTim Shallenburger 122,141 41.47
    RepublicanDave Kerr86,99529.54
    RepublicanBob Knight77,64226.36
    RepublicanDan Bloom7,7262.62
    Total votes294,504 100.00

    General election

    Predictions

    SourceRankingAs of
    The Cook Political Report[13]Lean D (flip)October 31, 2002
    Sabato's Crystal Ball[14]Lean D (flip)November 4, 2002

    Polling

    Poll sourceDate(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size[a]
    Margin
    of error
    Kathleen
    Sebelius (D)
    Tim
    Shallenburger (R)
    Dennis
    Hawver (L)
    Theodore
    Pettibone (Reform)
    Other /
    undecided
    SurveyUSA[15]October 31 – November 2, 2002704 (LV)± 3.8%51%44%2%1%2%

    Results

    Kansas gubernatorial election, 2002[16]
    PartyCandidateVotes%±%
    DemocraticKathleen Sebelius 441,858 52.87% +30.22%
    RepublicanTim Shallenburger376,83045.09%−28.28%
    ReformTheodore Pettibone8,9071.07%+0.01%
    LibertarianDennis Hawver8,0970.97%
    Majority65,0287.78%−42.93%
    Turnout835,692
    Democratic gain from RepublicanSwing

    Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

    Notes

    1. ^ Key:
      A – all adults
      RV – registered voters
      LV – likely voters
      V – unclear

    References

    1. ^ a b "2002 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
    2. ^ Rothschild, Scott (July 24, 2022). "The Governor's Race: Bloom follows outsider's path in race". Lawrence Journal-World. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
    3. ^ Callaway, Kristin (July 28, 2002). "Eric Bloom: Bloom fills time with campaigning, sports". Lawrence Journal-World. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
    4. ^ Clymer, Adam: "In 2002, Woman's Place May Be the Statehouse," date, The New York Times, retrieved July 28, 2020
    5. ^ Broder, David: "Closing The Governor Gap," February 20, 2002, The Washington Post, retrieved July 28, 2020
    6. ^ a b c Associated Press: "Decision: Lt. Governor says he won't wait for formal announcement from Stovall before he makes decision," April 11, 2002, Garden City Telegram, page 1, from NewspaperArchive.com (OCR text), retrieved July 28, 2020
    7. ^ a b c d e f g "Stovall Drops Out," April 16, 2002, Lawrence Journal-World, retrieved July 28, 2020
    8. ^ a b "Sebelius: A Legacy," April 28, 2009, Topeka Capital-Journal, retrieved July 28, 2020
    9. ^ "Kansas official plans to marry," Archived July 27, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, May 9, 2002, Daily Oklahoman, retrieved July 29, 2020
    10. ^ "Stovall-Steckline wedding," last modified Nov. 13, 2002, Marion County Record, retrieved July 29, 2020
    11. ^ Beatty, Bob and Virgil W. Dean, editors: "Doing What Needed to Get Done, When It Needed to Get Done”: A Conversation with Former Governor Bill Graves," undated Kansas History pp.172-197, retrieved July 29, 2020 from Washburn University reference archives.
    12. ^ Beatty, Bob and Linsey Moddelmog, editors: "Find a Way to Find Common Ground": A Conversation with Former Governor Kathleen Sebelius," Winter 2017-2018, Kansas History, retrieved July 29, 2020; pp.277-278: former Gov. Sebelius: "I entered the race [when] Carla [Stovall] [was] in the primary, and... within four months [she was] dropping out. So [the race] changed dramatically."
    13. ^ "Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived from the original on December 8, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
    14. ^ "Governors Races". www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived from the original on December 12, 2002. Retrieved September 18, 2018.
    15. ^ SurveyUSA
    16. ^ "2002 General Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State.
    Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2002_Kansas_gubernatorial_election&oldid=1328886002"